MIT Simulator - NBA Friday Cavaliers vs Pacers Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Indiana 113.65, Cleveland 108.24 - Projected Margin of Victory: 5.41 - Current Line: +6 - Variance to Line: 11.41 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.41 points. Value is nearly a dozen points! Key factors noted: Revenge spot for the Cavaliers but the Pacers certainly aren't going to take this game lightly. Indiana got swept out of the playoffs by Cleveland last spring with all 4 games decided by 6 points or less. Considering this line has been bet from a 4 up to a 6 and considering the history of tight games between these teams there is certainly substantial line value here. The Pacers have won all 3 regular season meetings with the Cavs this season but Indiana is still looking up at Cleveland in the standings. In other words, Indiana is going to be just as intense with their effort tonight as the Cavaliers will be. Also. the Cavs enter this game on a 1-14 ATS run while the Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Cleveland is looking to bounce back off of an ugly loss by double digits but the Cavaliers are 9-29 ATS when off of a loss by 10 or more points and that includes 1-9 ATS this season. Indiana is 12-5 ATS this season when facing teams that allow an average of 106 or more points per game. The Pacers also are 32-17 ATS in divisional games while the Cavaliers are 16-34 ATS in divisional games. Net edge factors for the underdog Pacers equating to upset victory by 5.41 points per MIT Simulator. Play: INDIANA