MIT Simulator - NCAAB Saturday Florida vs Baylor Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Bears 72.73, Gators 69.32 - Projected Margin of Victory: 3.41 - Current Line: +7 - Variance to Line: 10.41 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.41 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: Florida's schedule has been slightly tougher than Baylor's schedule early this season. However, that slight edge plus the home court edge for the Gators here is not enough to make up for the fact that the Bears have some key edges on both ends of the floor. Baylor is shooting 47.5% from the field while Florida is at 43.8%. Also, Florida is allowing opponents to hit 43.6% of their shots while the Bears are holding the opposition to 40.8% from the field. The Gators could still be reeling from a home loss to South Carolina. The Bears are also off of a home loss but Baylor played poor defense in that game which is certainly rare for them and they allowed 90 points. That is noteworthy because Baylor is 9-1 ATS when they are off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. Net edge factors for Bears equating to an upset victory here by 3.41 points per MIT Simulator. Play: BAYLOR