MIT Simulator - NCAAB Saturday Rutgers vs Penn State Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Nittany Lions 75.19, Scarlet Knights 56.40 - Projected Margin of Victory: 18.79 - Current Line: 8.5 - Variance to Line: 10.29 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.29 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: On the surface, with Penn State off of the dramatic win over Ohio State at the buzzer, it looks like the ideal spot to fade the Nittany Lions here. However, Penn State actually led that game most of the way and deserved the win and the buzzer-beater came with the game tied not with PSU trailing. The point being that it wasn't an unexpected win based on the way the game had played out. The big key here though is that the Lions lost at home to Rutgers last year. Prior to that the Nittany Lions had won back to back games over the Scarlet Knights by double digits each game. The Simulator is forecasting another victory by double digits here. While both of these teams have solid defensive numbers, there are two key factors in this match-up in addition to the revenge angle for the Nittany Lions. One is home court and the other is that Penn State is the much better shooting team. The Knights are averaging just 59.2 points per game on the road. The Lions are averaging 77 points per game this season on solid shooting including 39% from 3-point land. PSU is 20-4 SU as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. They've had trouble in that role ATS in recent seasons with an 0-6 mark but previously were 15-3 ATS in that role and this is a good revenge spot for the Nittany Lions. Rutgers is 3-25 SU and 9-19 ATS in road games in recent seasons! Net edge factors for Nittany Lions equating to blowout victory by 18.79 points per MIT Simulator. Play: PENN STATE