MIT Simulator - NCAAB Thursday Washington vs Arizona State Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Sun Devils 85.69, Huskies 71.39 - Projected Margin of Victory: 14.30 - Current Line: -3.5 - Variance to Line: 10.80 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.80 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: The Huskies generally struggle with higher-scoring teams. This has particularly held true in the latter half of seasons. In game 15 or later in a season, when facing a team that averages 77 points or more per game, the Huskies are a horrific 2-18 SU and 6-14 ATS. Washington is off of a big win over rival Washington State and the Huskies shot very well in that game. Prior to that big W, Washington had hit only 39.5% from the field in their 3 prior games combined. Arizona State is off of a big win and the Sun Devils are 10-3 SU and 9-2 ATS when they are off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. Arizona State is 13-4 SU this season in games where they are the favorite and they're laying a small number here. In other words, the SU win should lead to the ATS cover. The Huskies, as a home dog of 3.5 to 6 points, are 4-16 SU (and 6-14 ATS). Off of their big win over the rival Cougars, Washington struggles here. The above makes for an ideal set-up leading into this one with maximum value on the small road favorite. Net edge factors for Sun Devils equating to blowout victory by 14.30 points per MIT Simulator. Play: ARIZONA STATE