MIT Simulator - NCAAB Saturday Rutgers vs Purdue Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Boilermakers 79.72, Scarlet Knights 63.42 - Projected Total Points: 143.14 - Current O/U: 131 - Variance to O/U: 12.14 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.14 points. Value is a dozen points. Projected box-score shows Purdue and Rutgers combining for 14 three pointers, 38 two pointers, 25 free throws. Key factors noted: Purdue is the nation's hottest team with 18 straight wins including an 11-0 start in Big Ten action. That said, it is nearly impossible for the Boilermakers to avoid looking right past Rutgers as they have a huge showdown with 10-1 Ohio State on deck! While that certainly doesn't mean an upset is looming here, it does mean that Purdue's defense is likely to be little lax. This has been a pattern of late for the Boilermakers as they have allowed their opponents to hit 44% or better from the field in their last 4 games. With Rutgers being at home, they should take advantage of this and score quite well here. Of course the issue for the Scarlet Knights is that the Purdue offense has produced 70 points or more in 16 straight games! The Boilermakers are averaging 84.2 points per game this season and Rutgers won't be able to stop them. As a home dog of 15.5 or more, the Scarlet Knights O/U is 4-0. When on an ATS losing streak of 3 or more games, Rutgers O/U is 8-2 and, in February games, their O/U is 11-3. Strong O/U line value here per the simulation. Projected box-score made shots (as detailed above) equates to 143 points per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER