MIT Simulator - NBA Tuesday Bucks vs Hawks Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Atlanta 105.43, Milwaukee 102.01 - Projected Margin of Victory: 3.42 - Current Line: +7.5 - Variance to Line: 10.92 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.92 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: The Hawks are off of a home win versus Miami and now take to the road where they've been more competitive than their record would indicate. Atlanta is only 2-4 SU in their last 6 road games but the average margin of defeat in the 4 losses is only 6 points. The Hawks are 10-5 ATS this season after allowing 115 points or more in their prior game. The Bucks just wrapped up a lengthy road trip with a win and cover in the final game but had failed to cover 3 of prior 5 games. Milwaukee has covered only 10 of 27 home game this season as many of their wins are by slim margins. The Bucks won and covered the first meeting this season, in Atlanta, but the Hawks had covered each of the 4 prior meetings. With Milwaukee possibly overlooking a team with just 18 wins this season and with Atlanta playing with some extra confidence off of a win, this is the perfect spot for an upset here and definitely great value with the big points in this one. Net edge factors for the underdog Hawks equating to upset victory by 3.42 points per MIT Simulator. Play: ATLANTA