MIT Simulator - NCAAB Friday Cleveland State vs Oakland Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Vikings 80.21, Golden Grizzlies 72.70 - Projected Margin of Victory: 7.51 - Current Line: +4.5 - Variance to Line: 12.01 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.01 points. Value is a dozen points! Key factors noted: Already down a guard, Brailen Neely, that was a key part of the rotation things have gotten even worse now for the Golden Grizzlies. They just recently lost senior guard Martez Walker. He was one of 3 players averaging 35 or more minutes per game. In their first game without him, Oakland lost at Youngstown State. In other words, it is fully plausible that the Golden Grizzlies lose again at another sub-par team, Cleveland State. Yes, the Vikings have under-achieved this season and disappointed but they are at home and playing with revenge and they are the healthier team. Add it all up and you have an upset in the making here. Cleveland State has covered each of the last 3 meetings between these teams. The Vikings are also 4-1 ATS their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The Golden Grizzlies are 4-13 ATS as a favorite this season and 1-7 ATS when playing with 1 day of rest or less between games. While many may be looking for the bounce back from Oakland here, they are actually 0-5 ATS when off of a loss in conference action. Net edge factors for Vikings equating to upset victory by 7.51 points per MIT Simulator. Play: CLEVELAND STATE