MIT Simulator - NCAAB Saturday Southern Miss vs UAB Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Blazers 77.09, Golden Eagles 64.87 - Projected Margin of Victory: 12.22 - Current Line: 2 - Variance to Line: 10.22 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.22 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: With UAB 4-5 SU in road games this season and Southern Miss 10-2 SU in home games this season, this line may seem perplexing. The reason for the Blazers being favored despite the home/road records is because of the match-up problems they create for the Golden Eagles. It is those match-up issues that have led to wins in each of the last 3 meetings and an average margin of victory of 19.3 points per game. A key to victory here will be the UAB defense. The Blazers are allowing 41.3% from the field while the Golden Eagles are allowing 46.5% from the field. Southern Miss is 6-10 ATS (and 2-14 SU!) in games where they are an underdog this season. That certainly makes the money line on UAB attractive here given the small price. UAB is 31-9 SU (including 9-2 SU this season) in games against teams with a losing record. Net edge factors for Blazers equating to road rout victory by 10.22 points per MIT Simulator. Play: UAB