MIT Simulator - NCAAB Saturday Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Rebels 74.81, Bulldogs 71.68 - Projected Margin of Victory: 3.13 - Current Line: +7.5 - Variance to Line: 10.63 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.63 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: Ole Miss has won 4 straight in this series and covered each of the last 5 meetings. Even though Mississippi State is certainly the better team this season, that does not change the fact that this is a rivalry game and those tend to bring out the best in the team that comes in with the subpar record. With Ole Miss having lost 6 straight games, this one becomes their "game of the year" if you will as they are otherwise playing out the string on a disappointing season. While the Rebels are on an 0-6 ATS run, the Bulldogs are on a surprising 6-0 ATS run. However, Mississippi State is still just 5-7 ATS their last dozen games and they've lost their last two games straight-up while allowing an average of 85 points in those two defeats. Ole Miss is 6-0 ATS as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points. The Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in last 6 meetings between these teams. That means we have a double perfect situation here combining for a 12-0 ATS run and recommending a ply on the big dog! Net edge factors for Rebels equating to upset victory by 3.13 points per MIT Simulator. Play: OLE MISS