MIT Simulator - NBA Friday Lakers vs Mavericks O/U Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Los Angeles 107.41, Dallas 104.23 - Projected Total Points: 211.64 - Current O/U: 224 - Variance to O/U: 12.36 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.36 points. Value is a dozen points. Projected box-score shows Lakers and Mavericks combining for 22 three pointers, 59 two pointers, 28 free throws. Key factors noted: Dallas O/U is 14-26 in games where they are an underdog this season. Versus good offensive teams the Mavericks totals tend to get over-inflated. That is why Mavs O/U is 9-16 this season when facing a team that averages 106 points or more per game. Also, when off of an upset loss as a favorite, Dallas O/U is 3-7 this season. The Lakers are on an over streak but the All-Star break likely impacted their rhythm. Also, when the Lakers are on a streak of 3 or more consecutive overs, LA's O/U is 9-16. Very big total here considering the time off could impact the shooting of both teams. Projected box-score made shots (as detailed above) equates to 212 points per MIT Simulator. Play: UNDER