MIT Simulator - NCAAB Wednesday UNLV vs Nevada Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Wolf Pack 91.72, Runnin Rebels 76.41 - Projected Margin of Victory: 15.31 - Current Line: -2.5 - Variance to Line: 12.81 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.81 points. Value is a dozen points! Key factors noted: Big revenge game for Nevada as they lost to UNLV by 8 points in Reno earlier this month. The Wolf Pack have since won 5 straight games and all 5 wins have been by at least 5 points apiece. There is great line value here with the small line on the road fave because Nevada is 23-3 SU as a favorite this season and UNLV is only 2-6 SU as an underdog this season. As you can see, an upset for the home dog is unlikely in this one and that means a road cover is quite likely given the short number! The Wolf Pack are the much better 3-point shooting team and also at the free throw line. Nevada had won each of the prior two meetings with the Runnin Rebels by a margin of 27 points or more. Also, UNLV enters this game on a 3-game losing streak. Net edge factors for Wolf Pack equating to road rout victory by 15.31 points per MIT Simulator. Play: NEVADA