MIT Simulator - NCAAB Thursday Louisville vs Virginia Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Cardinals 67.37, Cavaliers 58.73 - Projected Margin of Victory: 8.64 - Current Line: +3.5 - Variance to Line: 12.14 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.14 points. Value is a dozen points! Key factors noted: At first glance, this line makes it seem "easy" to back the number one team in the country but you know that generally means! Nothing is every too easy. Had the Cavaliers not hit 9 of 16 three pointers in the first meeting between these teams, that 10-point final certainly would have finished much closer and don't forget that game was in Virginia! Now the Cavs face the Cardinals at Louisville and the Cards did shoot an overall 50% from the field in the first meeting. The Cardinals are well aware of this immense opportunity at home to knock off the #1 ranked team in the nation and will put forth a huge effort at home. This one has upset written all over it as the Cavaliers tough defense was definitely susceptible to the Cardinals offensive attack in the first meeting. Louisville is 15-4 SU at home this season. Cavaliers averaging only 61.6 points per game in last 7 road games. Cardinals put up 64 on Cavs in the first meeting and that was on the road. Big upset potential here as the Cards motivation is off the charts and they have the confidence factor on their home floor. Net edge factors for Cardinals equating to upset victory by 8.64 points per MIT Simulator. Play: LOUISVILLE