MIT Simulator - NCAAB Sunday Houston vs Connecticut Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Cougars 71.92, Huskies 69.68 - Projected Margin of Victory: 2.24 - Current Line: +14.5 - Variance to Line: 12.26 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.26 points. Value is a dozen points! Key factors noted: Although the Cougars have revenge against the Huskies from getting knocked out of last season's conference tournament, Houston is more concerned with this year's conference tournament than anything else. Houston wants to win this game and finish with an undefeated season in home games but they are certainly not worried about running up the score here. The Cougars just want to stay healthy. Connecticut will likely be the team playing a little looser in this game as they really have nothing to lose. In fact the Huskies are more concerned about trying to get an upset win here and continue to build momentum for the conference tournament. Connecticut is off of a home win versus Temple and has won 3 of 7 with 2 of those 4 losses coming by 4 points or less. The Huskies have scored 68 or more in 6 of their last 7 games. The Cougars will empty the bench if they get a big lead in this game and Connecticut has been scoring well enough to make a big late push if need be. Houston on a 2-5 SU and ATS run in March games. The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in a road game with an O/U in a range of 140 to 144.5 points. Net edge factors for Cougars equating to a game decided by just a bucket per MIT Simulator. Play: CONNECTICUT