MIT Simulator - NCAAB Tuesday Portland State vs Sacramento State Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Hornets 80.28, Vikings 74.84 - Projected Margin of Victory: 5.44 - Current Line: +6.5 - Variance to Line: 11.94 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.94 points. Value is a dozen points! Key factors noted: Sacramento State has an ugly record this season but they've got a ton of confidence when facing Portland State. The Hornets have won 3 straight games versus the Vikings and that includes both meetings this season! The biggest key of all about those victories this season is that Sacramento State was down at the half in both games! The Hornets outscored the Vikings both times after halftime and the combined margin was 28 points (92 to 64). These leads to huge confidence meaning that no matter what "runs" the Vikings have in them, the Hornets will feel like they can answer it with big "runs" of their own. That makes Sacramento State a very dangerous dog here. Portland State is not one to "build success" as they are on an 8-17 ATS run when off of a win in conference action including 2-6 ATS this season. Sacramento State is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in first round tournament games and the Simulator is calling for another upset here which makes grabbing the points a great option. Net edge factors for Hornets equating to upset victory by 5.44 points per MIT Simulator. Play: SACRAMENTO STATE