MIT Simulator - NBA Tuesday Warriors vs Nets Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Golden State 115.61, Brooklyn 113.89 - Projected Margin of Victory: 1.72 - Current Line: 14 - Variance to Line: 12.28 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.28 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: The Warriors have proven time and time again they do want to win non-conference games but it is not something that they focus all their energy on. Golden State has bigger and better things to work toward and that is why they are on an 8-21 ATS run against Atlantic Division opponents and that includes 2-7 ATS this season. Though the Warriors are well rested, they are actually 0-3 ATS this season when they are playing with 3 or more days of rest between games. Golden State also has the distraction of a much more intriguing match-up (Spurs) on deck for Thursday. The Warriors have no extra incentive here and this has shown in recent meetings with the Nets as they've won each of the last two but yet not covered either. The Nets outscored GS by 15 in the 2nd half of the most recent match-up and only were outscored by 6 in the 2nd half of the prior game. The point is the Warriors do just enough to win these games but they've got bigger fish to fry than the Nets. Brooklyn is 8-3 ATS this season in games with an O/U of 220 or more and the simulation says they will keep this game quite interesting. Net edge factors for the underdog Nets equating to Warriors victory by slimmest of margins - 1.72 points per MIT Simulator. Play: BROOKLYN