MIT Simulator - NBA Wednesday Nuggets vs Cavaliers Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Cleveland 119.75, Denver 110.18 - Projected Margin of Victory: 9.57 - Current Line: +2.5 - Variance to Line: 12.07 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.07 points. Value is a dozen points! Key factors noted: The Cavaliers have been awful as a favorite this season but are in their preferred underdog role Wednesday. The Cavs are 9-5 ATS this season as an underdog and in this spot they have a quick shot at revenge! Cleveland lost at home to the Nuggets Saturday but that seemed to finally be the wake-up call the Cavaliers needed. After allowing 126 points to Denver, the Cavs defense was much better in a win over the Pistons Monday where they allowed just 39.1% from the field for Detroit. The Nuggets are in a tough spot here as they were at Dallas last night so this is a back to back with travel involved. Denver was favored by about a half-dozen last night but lost the game by double digits! The Nuggets are now just 1-5 ATS their last 6 games and though they've had some recent ATS success in back to back situations, this is a particularly tough one and the simulator is forecasting the Cavaliers to get their revenge in a big way. Net edge factors for the underdog Cavs equating to upset victory by 9.57 points per MIT Simulator. Play: CLEVELAND