MIT Simulator - NCAAB Thursday Creighton vs Providence Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Friars 77.36, Bluejays 70.71 - Projected Margin of Victory: 6.65 - Current Line: +4 - Variance to Line: 10.65 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.65 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: These teams split in the regular season just like they did last season as well. However, part of the key to this play is what happened in post-season action last spring. That is when Creighton knocked Providence out of the conference tourney (by a double digit margin no less) even though the Friars actually led that game at halftime. The Bluejays enter the post-season on a 2-7 ATS run. Providence did win 2 of their last 3 regular season and games and the lone SU loss was an ATS win as they covered at Xavier. In their regular season finale versus St John's they did pull away in the 2nd half and then only some late game back and forth craziness resulted in the Friars falling short of the cover. The dog has gotten the cash (8-1 ATS) in all but of Providence's last 9 games. Creighton is 6-12 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in their prior game. Another key to why that angle is likely to cash here is because the Blue Jays don't shoot nearly as well away from home. Outside shooting is a key for them (it is not for Providence) and that's why there is even more value in grabbing the points and going against Creighton away from their comforts of home. Net edge factors for Friars equating to upset victory by 6.65 points per MIT Simulator. Play: PROVIDENCE