MIT Simulator - NCAAB Thursday Richmond vs Duquesne Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Dukes 77.57, Spiders 67.34 - Projected Margin of Victory: 10.23 - Current Line: +2 - Variance to Line: 12.23 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.23 points. Value is a dozen points! Key factors noted: There is something that seems "off" about this line so it is interesting what the simulation has calculated here. Richmond is the higher seed, playing closer to home, and they are 25-1 SU in their last 26 meetings with Duquesne and yet this line is a -2. Red flags went up, you hear whistles, and lights are flashing when you see a line like this. The simulator though is projecting that the Dukes better defense will be the key. Neither teams has been strong defensively this season but Duquesne has allowed just 45% from field and 33% three-pointers while Richmond has allowed nearly 49% from the field and nearly 37% three pointers. Of course with years of frustration versus the Spiders the Dukes are highly motivated here and this is one of the weaker Richmond teams in recent memory. Duquesne is 5-1 ATS this season when playing with home loss revenge. The Spiders are 3-6 ATS as a favorite. The Dukes dominated the boards in the first meeting and that is projected to be another key factor in this conference tournament match-up. Net edge factors for Dukes equating to upset victory by 10.23 points per MIT Simulator. Play: DUQUESNE