MIT Simulator - NCAAB Saturday Michigan vs Houston Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Cougars 71.08, Wolverines 62.87 - Projected Margin of Victory: 8.21 - Current Line: +3 - Variance to Line: 11.21 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.21 points. Value is nearly a dozen points! Key factors noted: Houston did not cover in their win versus San Diego State Thursday but they absolutely should have. The Cougars got up by double digits and then started playing conservative and trying to milk the clock and it nearly cost them the game and it did cost their backers the cover. That is helping lead to line value here because Houston certainly should have learned their lesson after that game. Look for a full forty from the Cougars here staying true to their style all the way. Michigan wasn't overly impressive versus Montana and pulled away late. This is another key aspect to the value-driven result for this game. These teams are similar statistically but the Cougars do have some edges on defense and definite edges in terms of Houston's rebounding differential on the season. Cougars 5-0 SU and ATS with a line of pick'em to +3 on a neutral court. Houston did go 5-2 ATS this season as an underdog too. Net edge factors for Cougars equating to upset victory by 8.21 points per MIT Simulator. Play: HOUSTON