MIT Simulator - NCAAB Sunday Cincinnati vs Nevada Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Wolf Pack 71.31, Bearcats 67.23 - Projected Margin of Victory: 4.08 - Current Line: +8 - Variance to Line: 12.08 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.08 points. Value is a dozen points! Key factors noted: Nevada a dangerous team when hitting their shots and they connected on 39.7% of their three pointers this season and got very hot in their win over Texas Friday. A team that can knock down threes like the Wolf Pack makes for a very dangerous dog getting this many points. Nevada has a reputation for thriving at the betting window against strong teams as they are 44-24 ATS their last 68 lined games versus teams with a winning record. The Wolf Pack also are on a 14-6 ATS run in tournament games while Cincinnati is on a 7-11 ATS run in tournament games and 11-18 ATS run specifically in NCAA Tournament games. The Bearcats pulled away late for the cover versus Georgia State and their 4 prior games were decided by an average margin of just 5.5 points per game. Averaging only 63.4 points per game their last 5 games, Cincinnati has trouble pulling away in this one and in fact it could be another upset. Net edge factors for Wolf Pack equating to upset victory by 4.08 points per MIT Simulator. Play: NEVADA