MIT Simulator - NCAAB Sunday Kansas State vs UMBC Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Wildcats 67.89, Bison 67.62 - Projected Margin of Victory: 0.27 - Current Line: +10.5 - Variance to Line: 10.23 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.23 points. Value is double digits! Key factors noted: Of course Kansas State has played the stronger schedule in comparison with UMBC. However, the Retrievers have plenty of confidence here as they have shot the 3-ball very well in 5 of their last 6 games and they enter this game having made 39% of their three-pointers on the season. Of course Kansas State has played the tougher schedule but they are 1-6 ATS this season when off of a game where they allowed 60 points or less. The Wildcats are also 3-7 ATS when playing with 1 day or less of rest between games while the Retrievers are 4-1 SU their last 5 and 3-0 ATS their last 3 in the very same situation. UMBC is 10-2 ATS in tournament games and the Wildcats were held to 23.1% or less with three-pointers in 4 of their 6 games prior to an unusually strong outside shooting performance versus Creighton. Net edge factors equating to Wildcats victory by the slimmest of margins per MIT Simulator. Play: UMBC