MIT Simulator - NCAAB Tuesday Louisville vs Mississippi State Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Bulldogs 75.92, Cardinals 68.60 - Projected Margin of Victory: 7.32 - Current Line: +5 - Variance to Line: 12.32 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.32 points. Value is a dozen points! Key factors noted: When you see a #4 seed getting only 5 points on the road at a #2 seed in NIT action you know something tangible is there. In this case, Mississippi State's 11-3-1 ATS run their last 15 games must be taken into consideration. The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS the last 6 times they've been a dog of 2 points or more. The Cardinals have covered both games so far in this tourney but they entered the NIT on a 5-6 ATS run. Louisville is 3-6 ATS this season after a game in which they scored 80 points or more. Also, the Cards are 5-8 ATS when playing with 1 day of rest or less between games while the Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS when playing with 1 day of rest or less between games. Mississippi State 8-4 ATS in tournament games while Louisville has gone 5-7 ATS in tourney games even with those two covers in NIT action this season. Net edge factors for Bulldogs equating to upset victory by 7.32 points per MIT Simulator. Play: MISSISSIPPI STATE