MIT Simulator - NBA Thursday Mavericks vs Jazz Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Dallas 101.26, Utah 97.79 - Projected Margin of Victory: 3.47 - Current Line: +8 - Variance to Line: 11.47 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.47 points. Value nearly a dozen points! Key factors noted: Utah off of a 4-game homestand and now 2-8 ATS when they enter a game having played each of their 3 prior games at home. This is after getting upset at home by the Hawks on Tuesday. The Jazz are only 6-6 ATS when off of an upset loss as a favorite this season so it is not as if that has been a powerful situation for them and the Mavericks are 40-20 ATS (including 11-4 ATS this season) when off of a loss by a double digit margin. Dallas is 27-16 ATS this season versus teams with a winning record and the Mavs have been shooting the ball much better than Utah in recent games. Net edge factors for the underdog Mavericks equating to upset victory by 3.47 points per MIT Simulator. Play: DALLAS