MIT Simulator - NCAAB Friday Duke vs Syracuse O/U Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Blue Devils 78.67, Orange 67.19 - Projected Total Points: 145.86 - Current O/U: 133 - Variance to O/U: 12.86 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.86 points. Value is a dozen points. Projected box-score shows Duke and Syracuse combining for 14 three pointers, 36 two pointers, 32 free throws. Key factors noted: A typical Syracuse game ends around 130 points while a typical Duke game ends up with about 155 points. The Blue Devils are a double digit favorite for a reason here. Of course they are the much better team and, as a result, they're going to control the pace in this game. That means this game will be played at a "Duke pace" and not a "Syracuse pace" and that should send it over the total. When these teams met earlier this season it was a very ugly game that totaled only 104 points. That has helped to keep this O/U lower than it should be and the simulation is forecasting an easy over here. Orange O/U 9-4 this season in games with an O/U between 130 and 139.5 points. Duke O/U 5-2 in neutral court games this season. Going back many seasons, when the Blue Devils O/U is 10-3 in a neutral court game with an O/U between 130 and 134.5 points. This total is far too low for "Duke basketball" and that's what we'll see tonight. The projected box-score shots made (as detailed above) equates to 146 points per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER