MIT Simulator - NCAAB Sunday Kansas vs Duke Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Jayhawks 81.15, Blue Devils 72.03 - Projected Margin of Victory: 9.12 - Current Line: +3 - Variance to Line: 12.12 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 12.12 points. Value is a dozen points! Key factors noted: Of course Kansas keeps 'winning' or they wouldn't be here. However, the Jayhawks are winning SU not ATS because they keep 'stealing' defeat from the jaws of victory when it comes to covering. Kansas has fallen just short of the cover in each of their last two games and the simulator is forecasting a bounce back here. The Jayhawks beat the Blue Devils last season in regular season action and that was even with shooting very poorly with 3-pointers and free throws. The fact is that Kansas dominated the boards and also with scoring inside the arc. Duke only shot 39.3% versus Syracuse while allowing the Orange to hit 49.0% from the field. The Blue Devils are fortunate just to be here and an upset is in the forecast. Look for some carry-over for Duke as they struggle to get their rhythm back. The toughest team they've recent faced comparable to Kansas was North Carolina and the Blue Devils shot poorly in that one too and lost. The last 5 times that Duke was either a dog or a favorite of 5.5 points or less they've gone 1-4 ATS. Net edge factors for Jayhawks equating to upset victory by 9.12 points per MIT Simulator. The Jayhawks are 7-3 SU and ATS last 10 as an underdog Play: KANSAS