MIT Simulator - NBA Tuesday Thunder vs Warriors Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Golden State 114.40, Oklahoma City 107.39 - Projected Margin of Victory: 7.01 - Current Line: +4.5 - Variance to Line: 11.51 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.51 points. Value is nearly a dozen points! Key factors noted: Oklahoma City is off of a big win at New Orleans but the Thunder recent losses include defeats to a Denver team that might not even make the post-season and a San Antonio team that has been hurting this season without Kawhi Leonard. Everyone is jumping on the OKC here and has forced a line move. Even though Golden State is locked into the 2nd seed in the Western Conference and also trying to get Stephen Curry healthy, the Warriors are not going to lay down here. They enter this game off of a back to back wins and, prior to crushing the Thunder in their most recent meetings, Golden State had lost the 2 prior meetings in blowout fashion. This includes the Warriors losing their only visit to Oklahoma City so far this season. The Warriors will look to avenge that loss and there is great line value on the other side of the early line move here. It opened up at 2.5 and has shot up to a 4.5 as of Monday evening. The Thunder are playing their 4th game in 6 days and OKC, prior to covering versus the Pelicans, had 0 covers in their last 5 games overall. Net edge factors for the Warriors equating to road upset victory by 7.01 points per MIT Simulator. Play: GOLDEN STATE