MIT Simulator - MLB Wednesday Braves vs Nationals Run Line Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Washington 5.31, Atlanta 2.67 - Projected Margin: 2.64 - Current Price on Run Line: -115 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor in excess of 2.5 runs on game with low price on the run line (-1.5 runs). Price on Run Line likely to be rising this morning but value is still there considering blowout likely in this match-up. Projected box-score shows Nationals outhitting Braves by 5.13 hits. Key factors noted: Washington entered Tuesday's action with a perfect 4-0 record on the season. Now on Wednesday they're handing the ball to Max Scherzer whom, as usual, was in dominant form in his first start of the season (at Cincinnati) last week. The Braves will have Mike Foltynewicz on the mound and he had a solid first start this season but did give up a pair of homers. Now he faces a Washington team that has also given him some trouble with the long ball and Foltynewicz gave up 13 earned runs in 13.1 innings in his last 3 starts versus the Nats last season. 67 of the Nationals 97 wins last season were by 2 runs or more. 66 of Atlanta's 90 losses last season were by 2 or more runs. Projected box-score shows Nationals outhitting Braves by 2.49 extra base hits. Combination of hits (including extra base hits) equating to margin of 2.64 runs in favor of Washington per MIT Simulator. Play: NATIONALS Run Line