MIT Simulator - MLB Thursday Oakland vs Texas O/U Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Athletics 6.32, Rangers 5.41 - Projected Total Runs: 11.73 - Current O/U: 9.5 - Variance to O/U: 2.23 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 2.23 runs. Value in excess of 2 runs. Projected box-score shows Athletics and Rangers combining for 23.04 hits. Key factors noted: The Rangers Martin Perez has a 5.24 ERA in 16 starts versus Oakland. He saw limited spring training action due to breaking the tip of elbow on non-throwing arm. Not having a full camp could impact Perez here. Also, the Texas southpaw had a 5.71 ERA and an opponents batting average of .314 in day games last season. The A's Daniel Mengden struggled in his first start this season with his defense behind him certainly not helping. However, Oakland does have a poor defense so that will be an ongoing issue this season. Mengden had some better numbers last season but the fact is that he is 5-12 with a 5.37 ERA in his career. Also, he is 0-9 in his career starts in Oakland with a very high ERA at home. Heading into Wednesday night's late game neither one of these teams is hitting well but this pitching match-up will bring out the best in both lineups! Projected box-score shows Athletics and Rangers combining for 7.91 extra base hits! Combination of hits (including extra base hits) equating to 11.73 runs per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER