MIT Simulator - MLB Friday Cleveland vs Kansas City O/U Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Indians 5.58, Royals 4.09 - Projected Total Runs: 9.67 - Current O/U: 7.5 - Variance to O/U: 2.17 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 2.17 runs. Value in excess of 2 runs. Key factors noted: It will be cold in Cleveland. The wind blowing in from left field. This is keeping this O/U low but oftentimes the markets overlook the impact the that the cold can have on pitchers abilities to grip the ball properly. The Simulator includes variables like this as part of the analysis. That factor coupled with the fact that both Danny Duffy and Carlos Corrasco struggled in their first starts this season has impacted the simulation here. Of course the Royals bullpen ERA of 9.00 this season also is a factor. The simulation is predicting both pitchers will have some struggles here after Duffy allowed 5 runs in 4 innings and Carrasco allowed 5 runs in 5.2 innings in their respective first starts. The low O/U has led to significant value here. Simulation reflects forecast equating to 9.67 runs per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER