MIT Simulator - MLB Monday Giants vs Diamondbacks Winner
MIT Simulator Score - San Francisco 4.58, Arizona 3.49 - Projected Margin: 1.09 - Current Money Line: +127 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 1 run on a game with a sizable dog on the money line. Key factors noted: The Diamondbacks are 23-32 in road games with an O/U of 8.5 or 8. Also, Arizona's Zack Godley has a poor history against a number of Giants hitters and got crushed when he faced San Francisco in September. A big edge that the Giants Derek Holland has here is that he is new to the National League and the only 2 players on the Diamondbacks who have ever even faced him have a combined mark of just 2 for 13 against him. He'll use this lack of familiarity to his advantage. Though Holland's 1st start as a Giant had its share of struggles he did allow just 3 hits in his 5 innings in that outing. Also, the Dbacks enter this game averaging only 3.3 runs per game their last 4 games. The Giants, prior to facing Clayton Kershaw (always tough) Sunday, had averaged 7 runs per game in their 3 prior games. Home underdog value here. This one looks like an upset! Simulation forecasting a margin of 1.09 runs in favor of home dog San Francisco per MIT Simulator. Play: GIANTS