NCAAB - Spread is the play here. Tennessee is so strong defensively and off the win over Auburn they can most certainly also upset Florida here as well. The simulation report shows some decent probability for an upset here and the strongest range of probability for the final here shows a range of Volunteers winning outright by 2 or 3 points or losing from up to 4 or 5 points. So we are the sweet spot here with this selection and catching 5.5 points. Tennessee might play methodical or downright ugly at times but it works for them and they have a chance to frustrate Florida here. Simply put, the Gators are a bit over-valued here. Play TENNESSEE