This is all about pitching in this one. While Spenser Watkins has been solid enough for the Orioles this season, posting a 3-1 mark with a 3.93 ERA in 12 starts this season, he's averaging only 4.1 innings per start. The Orioles have some capable hitters but they are facing one of the frontrunners for the AL Cy Young in Shane McClanahan. Tampa Bay's ace is 10-3 with a 1.71 ERA, a 0.795 WHIP, 19 walks and 147 strikeouts over 110.2 innings of work. That includes a 4-0 career mark with a 2.30 ERA, a 1.134 WHIP, five walks and 34 strikeouts over 27.2 innings in five starts against them. You have to back the Rays here with their ace on the bump.