Kansas City has gone under in eight of their 15 games this season. The Chiefs have stayed under the total in four of their seven road games this season. Pittsburgh has gone over in 8 of their 15 games this season. The Steelers have stayed under the number in four of their six games at home this season. The Chiefs have held their opposition to 19 points or fewer in four straight games. They have the third-best defense at 18.5 points per game. The Steelers are sixth at 19.9 points a game. Surprisingly, these are two of the worst red-zone offenses in the NFL. Kansas City is converting only 51.7% of their red-zone trips to touchdowns, while Pittsburgh converts just 48.0%. I am looking for a close defensive dual with more field goals than touchdowns.

Play on the UNDER. This is a 4% play.