I'm on BYU +3.5 on the road vs the Baylor Bears for these reasons:

- BYU are the better team, with the better record, and better Quarterback play. Jake Retzlaff has been on fire in terms of Touchdowns thrown, averaging 2 passing Tds per game so far, while Sawyer Robertson has on 3 passing touchdowns. Sawyer only has 50 attempts passing this season which is very low. Baylor seems to be more of a run first unit this season, and that isn't going to help vs a BYU defense that has only allowed 531 passing yards to opponents overall so far. The Bears reliance on the big play wont be there in a game that I think will be low scoring with both teams relying more on their defense. The thing is, when the defense make lapses, who's more prone to take advantage of those? The better offense in BYU who have more yards gained on that side of the ball than Baylor does, as well as more redzone conversions.

- BYU also has a week off after this game, so even though its a road game, I know they will be up for this game to continue their undefeated season, going into thier BYE week without a loss and still ranked.

Official Play: BYU +3.5

Side Bet: Chase Roberts Anytime TD

Hail Mary: Under 46.5