I’m on the Steelers +3 @ Cincinnati for these reasons:

- I love this bounce back spot for the Steelers, who lost a gruesome snow game to the browns. They also had an extra week to prepare following that loss, giving me added motivation that they will be very prepared for this divisional matchup.

- Pittsburgh are 28-17-2 ATS as road underdogs. They are 3-0 ATS as underdogs this season, While the bengals are 1-4 at home this year.

- Steelers are stout against the run, which makes things tougher on Joe Burrow as we can see throughout this matchup history. Joe burrow averages 1.6 interceptions per meeting with Pittsburgh, and now he doesn’t have Joe Mixon to disguise the poor offensive line (which is why his season is going the way it is), so we will see and underwhelming performance from Burrow again today. TJ Watt is an issue as well, who has tormented QBs this season. The bengals give up 2.3 sacks per game, and we can book TJ for a lot of pressures to Joey B.

- Russell Wilson and Fields, alongside the 2 headed RB group, will be able to control the pace of the game, limiting Joey B from the field, limiting Russell from making costly mistakes, and also creating opportunities in the play action for Russ’s moon ball.

Official Play: Steelers +3

Side Bet: Boswell over 7.5 kicking points

Hail Mary: Russell Wilson Under 0.5 Interceptions