Im on Georgia moneyline vs Notre Dame in the Sugar Bowl for these reasons:

- The loss of Carson Beck is not as huge as the line is letting it on to be. This game would be set at Georgia -6.5 if Beck was available, but I don’t see the decline that the book makers are seeing just because Gunner Stockton is the QB. Stockton can make more plays with his feet than Carson Beck, he’s completed 70% of passes in the games he’s featured in this season, and he still can lean on the Travis Ettiene/Nate Frazier running game as well as the Defense.

- The Georgia Defense has been slaughtered by Passing QBs with lethal WRs.This is not what Notre Dame brings to the table. Notre Dames Riley Leonard and Jerimiah Love are the backbone of the fighting Irish, and while Georgias defense has looked bad the last 3 games, it’s facing a much less potent offense in Notre Dame, who can’t make big splash plays down field and will rely on the legs of their QB to get yards. This is a recipe for Georgias Defense to simplify the already simple offense that ND has, eliminating the running lanes for Riley, and forcing him to pass the ball. Chambliss and Mondon Jr. covering the middle of the field, should prevent a lot of the rushing attack that Notre Dame will implement (supporting my case for the over)

- Momentum is on the side of the Georgia Dawgs. Notre Dame has not seen anything like Georgia this season, and with the best teams they played being USC and Indiana…… they aren’t built to play a CFP game that is virtually a home game for UGA being that this game is in the SuperDome, nearest to Georgia rather than to Indiana.

Official Play: Georgia Moneyline

Side Bet: Arian Smith over 36.5 Receiving Yards

Hail Mary: Riley Leonard Anytime TD