Marc Lawrence 5-Star NFL Playoff Play of the Year!
(NFL) Kansas City vs. Buffalo,
Point Spread: 2.50 | 103.00 Kansas City (Away)
Result: Win
Play - Kansas City Chiefs (Game 317)

> Edges for the Chiefs:
• QB Patrick Mahomes is 11-1 ATS as a dog in his NFL career, including 10-0 ATS outside of Arrowhead Stadium
• Mahomes is 7-0 SU in NFL playoff Wild Card and Divisional round games in his career while scoring more than 21 points in each game
• Mahomes is 5-0 SUATS in the postseason in games with an Over/Under total of 51 or fewer points
• Kansas City is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS away from Arrowhead Stadium this season, including 2-0 SUATS as a dog
• Head coach Andy Reid is 9-4 SUATS in his career between the threes (+3 to -3), including 7-1 SUATS versus a foe that allows 100 or more rushing yards per game
• Reid is 47-7 ATS as a dog in games in which his team scores more than 21 points, including 37-3 ATS when not at home

> Edges against the Bills:
• Head coach Sean McDermott is 1-4 ATS in the playoffs versus .666 or greater foes, including 0-3 SUATS when coming off a SUATS win
• QB Josh Allen 0-2 SUATS in the postseason versus Patrick Mahomes
• Allen is 4-10-1 ATS during the last three seasons in games after the Bills did not turn the ball over in its previous contest, which ranks worst of all NFL quarterbacks.


> Conclusion:
• We seal the deal noting that defending Super Bowl champions, on a three-game -exact, are 5-0 SUATS in the postseason since 1980. With that, we recommend a 5* play on Kansas City as our NFL Playoff Play of the Year. We wish you the best of luck and thank you for your continuing support.