Washington comes into this game 3-4 in their last 7 games. 3 of those 5 losses were by multiple runs. Washington is starting Patrick Corbin in this game. Corbin has allowed 4+ runs in 5 of his last 8 starts. Corbin has allowed at least 1 home run in 5 of his last 7 starts.

Corbin faced Cincinnati in Washington allowing 10 hits and 6 earned runs as well as 2 home runs on July 4th.

Cincinnati comes into this game 10-5 in their last 15 games. Cincinnati won their last 5 home games winning their last 4 by 2 or more runs. Cincinnati is starting Graham Ashcraft in this game. If you look at Ashcraft’s season numbers he is 6-7 with a 5.31 ERA in 20 starts. However if you look at what he has done recently Ashcraft is 3-1 in his last 6 starts allowing 2 or fewer runs in all 6 starts. Ashcraft has allowed 7 runs TOTAL over his last 6 starts going at least 6 innings in 5 of his last 6 starts.

Ashcraft faced Washington on July 5th going 6 innings giving up 1 run in a 9-2 Cincinnati win.

Cincinnati is 4-0 against Washington winning 2 of the 4 games by multiple runs. Cincinnati is in a battle to win their division and I like them to get the job done at home against a bottom feeder Nationals team

Pick: Cincinnati Reds -1.5