Atlanta enters this game after a 16-4 loss against the NY Mets on Thursday night. Atlanta is 7-4 on the season and has scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their 11 games this season. Atlanta’s games have gone OVER 8.5 in 9 of their 11 games this season.

Atlanta is starting Max Fried in this game who has had an awful start to his season pitching 5 total innings over 2 starts allowing 12 hits and 10 earned runs as well as 4 walks. Fried is 3-3 in 12 career starts against Miami with a 4.94 ERA.

Miami enters this game 2-11 on the season and have gone OVER 8.5 in 8 of their 13 games this season. Miami is starting Trevor Rogers in this game who has pitched 5 innings in both starts allowing 12 hits, 7 walks and 6 earned runs. Rogers is 0-5 in 7 career starts against Atlanta with a 6.03 ERA.

12 of the last 14 games between these teams has had at least 9 runs scored and 9 of the last 14 games had at least 10 runs scored.

Pick: Over 8.5