The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 10-10 record this season and they have been playing in a lot of higher scoring games recently. They have seen at least 9 runs total in 2 of their last 3 as well as 4 of their last 6 games. Their offense has been scoring runs in those as they have scored at least 4 runs in 2 of their last 3 as well as 4 of their last 6 games, but their pitching has been awful as they have allowed at least 5 runs in 2 of their last 3 games as well. They are going up against a Pirates team that is 11-8 this season and has also been in a lot of high scoring games recently. They have seen at least 9 runs total in 3 of their last 4 games. Their offense has not been great in these games and their pitching has been awful as they have allowed at least 6 runs in 2 of their last 3 games. The Pirates have not been scoring many runs in their recent games but this is a game at home where their offense should get a spark. Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox here and he is 2-1 with a 3.92 ERA this season. Brayan Bello has not been bad in his 4 starts this year, but he has also been consistently giving up runs as he has allowed at least 2 runs in each of his 4 starts this season, allowing 3+ runs in 2 of his last 3 starts. His last road start was also his worst start of the season as he allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings against the A's, and he is not going to get much help from the bullpen here if he gets into trouble as the Red Sox had a bullpen day yesterday in their 5-4 loss to the Guardians. The Red Sox are going to need some runs in this game to win it with their bullpen situation and their offense has still been scoring in recent games. They are also going to have their own spark with Quinn Priester starting here as he is making his season debut in this game, but he is also coming off of a rookie season which he was 3-3 with a 7.74 ERA. He only made 10 starts last year in his rookie season but he was awful as he allowed at least 2 earned runs in all 10 starts as well as allowing at least 4 earned runs in 8 of those 10 starts. He was much worse at home as well as he allowed at least 4 earned runs in each of his 5 starts there. He is going to give up runs in this game with the way the Red Sox have been scoring recently and the bullpen has not been great for the Pirates recently either. Between these two teams, there will be enough runs in this game to push it over the total.