The Mariners are coming into this game with a 36-30 record this season and they have not been playing well in this series. They have lost their last 2 straight games as they have allowed 18 runs in their last 2 games, and they have been much worse on the road this season at 15-19. They are going up against a Royals team that is 39-26 this season and they have been much better at home this year at 24-10. They have also won their last 3 straight as well as 4 of their last 5 games and their offense has been scoring runs in these. George Kirby is starting for the Mariners in this game and he is 5-5 with a 4.05 ERA this season. He has pitched well in his last 2 starts as he has only allowed 3 earned runs total in those, but just like the Mariners have struggled on the road this season, Kirby has been much worse on the road as well. He has allowed at least 5 earned runs in 2 of his last 3 road starts as well as allowing at least 4 earned runs in 3 of his last 4 road starts. He did have a good start against the Royals earlier this season as he allowed no runs in 7 innings, but that start was also at home where Kirby has been much better as a starter and the Royals have been much worse as a team. He will not pitch as well in this game as he has struggled on the road recently and this Royals offense has also been very hot recently. Cole Ragans is starting for the Royals in this game and he is 4-4 with a 3.21 ERA this season. He has been very good in his recent starts as he has not allowed more than 2 earned runs in each of his last 4 starts, only allowing 3 earned runs total in those 4 starts. He has also been much better at home recently as he has pitched at least 6 innings in each of his last 3 home starts and has only allowed 1 earned run total in those. Ragans has been very good in his starts recently and has been much better at home, he will do enough with the Royals bullpen to keep this Mariners offense at bay while the Royals offense stays hot with Kirby and the Mariners bullpen not pitching well recently. The Royals will win this game at home.