The Blue Jays are coming into this game with a 39-47 record this season and they have not been playing well in their recent games. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games, but they do have a chance to split this series at home with the Astros. They are going up against an Astros team that is 44-42 this season and they have been playing well as they have won 4 of their last 5 games. They are coming off of a 9-2 win against the Blue Jays, but the Jays have more of an advantage in this game with their starter. Chris Bassitt is starting for the Blue Jays and he is 7-6 with a 3.24 ERA this season. He has been pitching very well in his recent starts, allowing 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 5 as well as 7 of his last 8 starts. He also had 8 strikeouts in his last start as the Jays won 9-3, and they have scored 15 runs in his last 2 starts as well. Framber Valdez is starting for the Astrtos in this game and he is 6-5 with a 4.11 ERA this season. He has been struggling a lot more this season and is coming off of a start which he allowed 6 earned runs in. He has also allowed at least 5 earned runs in 2 of his last 4 starts, and he has not pitched a game where he did not allow an earned run in his last 8 straight starts. The Blue Jays cannot win this series but they still have a chance to salvage it with a split and Bassitt has been very consistent for them in recent starts. He will be able to shut down the Astros offense while going deep into this game and the Jays will find ways to score against this bullpen and against Valdez who has not been pitching well recently. The Blue Jays will win this game at home.