The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 75-76 record this season and they have not been playing well in their recent games. They have lost their last 2 straight as well as 4 of their last 5 games and their offense has struggled recently, scoring just 5 runs in their last 2 games. They are going up against a Rays team that is 74-77 this season and has been playing better in their recent games. They have won 3 of their last 5 games and they are coming off of an 8-3 win against the Red Sox in their last game. Their pitching has also been very good as they have allowed just 3 runs or less in each of their last 2 as well as 4 of their last 5 games. Ryan Pepiot is starting for the Rays in this game and he is 8-6 with a 3.76 ERA this season. He has been pitching very well recently as he has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 10 of his last 11 starts, allowing no more than 3 earned runs in any of those as well. He has also allowed just 1 earned run or less in 4 of his last 5 home starts, and he has a very good bullpen that has been pitching well recently to back him up in this game. The Red Sox do not have a good bullpen though so they are going to give up runs late in this game. They also Tanner Houck starting in this game and he is 8-10 with a 3.24 ERA this season. He has not been pitching well recently as he allowed 4 earned runs in his last start and has allowed at least 4 earned runs in 2 of his last 3 starts as well. He has also struggled more on the road recently as he has allowed at least 4 earned runs in 3 of his last 5 road starts, allowing at least 3 runs in 4 of those 5 as well. The Rays have been pitching much better in recent games while the Red Sox have been struggling to win games at all. The Rays will win this game at home.