Corbin Burnes is starting for the Orioles in this game and he is 15-8 with a 2.95 ERA this season. He has been pitching very well recently as he has not allowed a run in 14 innings of his last 2 starts and he has also allowed 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 5 starts. Gerrit Cole is starting for the Yankees in this game and he is 7-5 with a 3.67 ERA this season. He has been pitching well this month as he has allowed 1 earned run or less in 3 of his last 4 starts, but he did have 1 start in that span which he allowed 7 earned runs and it was his only start at home in those 4. The Orioles have won both games in this series and now they have Burnes starting who has been their best starter all season. The Orioles came to play in this series as they do not want to hand the division to the Yankees so easily and their offense has been on fire as well, the value is with them here. The Orioles will win this game.