Mississippi State is coming into this game with a 1-3 record this season and they have not been playing well. Their only win this season came against an FCS team in Eastern Kentucky and they have lost 3 straight games since then. They just lost 45-28 to Florida at home and lost the week before to Toledo 41-17 at home as well. Their only road game was a 30-23 loss to Arizona State in a game they were trailing 27-3 at halftime. This is only their 2nd road game of the season and 2nd conference game, but it will be their 1st conference game on the road and they just lost their starting quarterback for the season, going with a true freshman in this game. They are going up against a Texas team that is 4-0 this season and they have been playing very well. Their toughest game this season was on the road against Michigan and they won that game 31-12. They have won all 3 games at home this season, scoring 50+ points in each game while only allowing a combined 10 points between the 3. They have a very balanced offense with a good run game and a great passing game that can attack this defense many different ways, and their defense is also the real deal this season, both run and pass defense. Mississippi State does not have a good offense this year, they are averaging 31 points scored per game but they have only scored more than that average in 1 of their 4 games, the win against an FCS team. They have struggled to run the ball as well, their passing game being their strength on offense, but this is not a good situation for a true freshman getting his 1st start. Mississippi State cannot stop the run either so they will not be able to stop this Texas offense, and Texas will not need to do much on defense to stop Mississippi State. Texas will cover the spread in this game.