Shakhtar Donetsk is coming into this match with a slight trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches and that trend has been much stronger at home. When playing at home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 2 straight and their attack has been on fire in these, scoring 9 goals in those 2 matches. They are going up against an Atalanta side that has also been trending to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches and their defense has been awful in these. They have allowed at least 2 goals in 4 of their last 6 matches and have only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 6 matches as well. That 1 clean sheet came in their 1st Champions League match against Arsenal, but that was at home against a much stronger opponent so Atalanta brought their best for that match. This will be a more difficult match for them away from home and their defense has not been good in many matches this season so Shakhtar will be able to catch them here with that potent attack. Atalanta also has a very potent attack though and Shakhtar will not be as tight on defense as they were in their away match against Bologna. Shakhtar will be pushing to win this match at home and they will find the net on this Atalanta defense, but Atalanta will also be able to find the net here and they will push their attack if they fall behind. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
UEFA Champions League: Shakhtar Donetsk/Atalanta over 2.5 goals, Rot. 224237