The Lightning are coming into this game with a 3-1-0 record this season and they are coming off of their 1st loss of the season in their last game. They started the season with 3 straight wins, but now they are coming off of a 5-4 loss on the road to the Senators in their last game and their defense has not been great recently. They have allowed 8 goals in their last 2 games alone and they are going to struggle to keep their opponent out here. They are going up against a Leafs team that is 3-2-0 this season and is coming off of a loss after winning 3 straight games as well. They lost at home to the Rangers 4-1 in their last game, but the Rangers have one of the better teams in the league this season and the Leafs are going to be hungry to bounce back here. Prior to that loss, their offense was on fire as they scored 4+ goals in 3 straight games, but their defense was also playing great as well. They have only allowed 2 goals or less in 4 of their 5 games this season, and they will be hungry for a better defensive performance at home after having their worst game of the season in their last game. The Leafs have lost the last 2 straight meetings with the Lightning, but this is a chance for them to get revenge at home against a team that has tormented them for years, especially in the playoffs. The Leafs have also improved their team this season while the Lightning have lost some talent and have been in decline over the last few seasons as well. The Leafs will win this game at home.