Como is coming into this match with a slight trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in their last 2 straight, but prior to that they had gone over 2.5 goals in 4 straight matches. Their attack has been consistent in these matches as well, scoring at least 1 goal in 5 of their last 6 and scoring at least 2 goals in 3 of those. They are coming off of a 1-0 loss in their last match against a better defensive side in Torino and they drew 1-1 at home with Parma prior to that, but Fabregas has this team moving in the right direction and they will be pushing for a better result at home after 1 point from their last 3 matches. Their attack has been consistent, but their defense has been conceding as they have allowed a goal in every match this season and have allowed at least 2 goals in 4 of their last 6 matches. When playing at home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their 3 matches there and the 1 that did not was a 1-1 draw against Parma, and they had their chances to win that match. They are going up against a Lazio side that has also been slightly trending to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 12 matches and they have been in great form recently as well, winning 6 of their last 7 matches. Their attack has been on fire in these matches as well, scoring at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches, but they have also conceded at least 1 goal in 4 of their last 6 matches and have allowed 12 goals in 9 matches this season. Lazio has been in great form, but Como has taken down some good quality teams already this season and they will be pushing for a result in this match. They are going to have to push their attack for goals as well since their defense is not going to keep out this Lazio attack. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
Italy Serie A: Como/Lazio over 2.5 goals, Rot. 201377