Monza is coming into this match with a trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches and their attack has been good in these. They have scored at least 2 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches, but their defense has also allowed at least 2 goals in each of their last 2. When playing at home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches there with both teams scoring in all of those matches. They are going up against an AC Milan side that has not been trending to the over in recent matches, but that trend has been different in Serie A. They have actually gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their 9 league matches this season. Their attack has been great in these matches, but their defense has been conceding a lot of goals as well. When playing away from home, all 4 of their away matches in the league have gone over 2.5 goals with both teams scoring in all of those matches. These two sides have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 3 meetings with each other and Monza is going to be hungry in this match with only 1 win this season, hovering right above the relegation zone. They have played much better at home this season with no losses in their last 3 matches there so they are going to be pushing for points here and will find the net on that awful Milan defense. Milan also has a very potent attack though and Monza has not been keeping many opponents out this season so Milan will also find the net here and both sides will be pushing to win. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
Italy Serie A: Monza/AC Milan over 2.5 goals, Rot. 201221