Chelsea is coming into this match with a trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 matches and they are coming off of an 8-0 win in the Conference League in their last match. Their attack has been great in these as they have scored at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 15 goals total in that span, but their defense has not been great as they have also conceded at least 1 goal in 8 of their last 9 matches. When playing at home, this trend has been much stronger as they have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 2 straight as well as 5 of their last 6 matches there. Their attack has been on fire in these matches as well, scoring at least 4 goals in 4 of their last 6 matches there. They are going up against an Arsenal side that has not been trending to the over in their recent matches, but they have still gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4 matches. They have not been in great form either as they have lost their last 2 straight matches, and their defense has conceded 3 of their last 4 matches as well. They have not scored a goal in their last 2 matches either, but prior to that they scored 5 goals total in 2 matches and they will be pushing to get back into good form as they are slipping away from the title race. Chelsea has had a potent attack all season and they have been in good form recently. They have also been a very tough team to beat at home and they are going to find the net here as this Arsenal defense has not been great recently and they have conceded some goals in their matches this season against better teams. Arsenal will not keep Chelsea out so they are going to be forced to push their own attack, but this Chelsea defense has not been that stout either and Arsenal has the attacking quality to find the net here as well. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
England Premier League: Chelsea/Arsenal over 2.5 goals, Rot. 200037